Insider Buying Signals a Bullish Outlook for Monarch

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) has just reported a 33,333‑share purchase of its own options at $95.70 per share, closing the trade on December 31, 2025. The acquisition, executed at a price virtually identical to the market close of $92.83, signals confidence from President Bob Farahi in the company’s near‑term prospects. Farahi’s holdings now sit at 166,667 shares of options—an increase that, while modest in dollar terms, represents a notable shift in insider positioning after a series of long‑term option‑holding reports that had kept his stake flat.

What the Numbers Reveal About Investor Sentiment

The transaction’s price change of –0.01% and a neutral social‑media sentiment score of 0 suggest that the market is largely indifferent to this move. However, the fact that an executive is adding to a position at a time when the stock sits just below its 52‑week high ($113.88) may indicate a belief that the stock is undervalued relative to its growth potential. The company’s P/E of 21.77 and a market cap of $1.75 B provide a solid valuation framework, while the recent 18.71% yearly gain shows momentum that may not yet have fully priced in the insider activity.

Implications for Shareholders and the Wider Market

Farahi’s purchase is the first in a series of option‑related trades in the last two years. The company’s other insiders—such as Craig Sullivan and Edwin Koenig—have predominantly held their options, with only sporadic sales. This pattern of long‑term option holdings coupled with a fresh buy by Farahi may be interpreted by investors as an endorsement of the company’s strategic initiatives, including expansion plans for the Reno resort and potential acquisitions of complementary hospitality assets. For shareholders, the move could reinforce confidence and potentially lift the stock toward its 52‑week high, especially if the company continues to deliver on revenue growth and profitability targets.

Looking Ahead: Strategic Themes and Risks

Monarch’s business model—anchored in a tropical‑themed casino resort—offers a unique value proposition in a competitive market. The company’s recent price decline of –3.00% weekly and –3.35% monthly highlights short‑term volatility, but the broader industry trend toward experiential hospitality could mitigate this risk. Analysts will watch the company’s earnings releases, capital allocation decisions, and any further insider transactions for signals of a strategic pivot. If Farahi and his peers continue to accumulate options, it may signal an expectation of a rebound in casino traffic, improved margins, or a favorable macroeconomic environment for Nevada’s tourism sector. Investors should therefore consider the insider buying as a bullish cue while remaining mindful of the underlying operational risks and the cyclical nature of the hospitality industry.

DateOwnerTransaction TypeSharesPrice per ShareSecurity
N/AFARAHI BOB (President)Holding181,686.00N/ACommon Stock
N/AFARAHI BOB (President)Holding961,774.00N/ACommon Stock
2025-12-31FARAHI BOB (President)Buy33,333.0095.70Options / Right to Buy
2027-12-31FARAHI BOB (President)Holding166,667.00N/AOptions / Right to Buy
2026-12-31FARAHI BOB (President)Holding166,667.00N/AOptions / Right to Buy
2025-12-31FARAHI BOB (President)Holding166,667.00N/AOptions / Right to Buy
2024-12-31FARAHI BOB (President)Holding166,667.00N/AOptions / Right to Buy